查理·芒格:美股若暴跌,我會全倉這2只落難貴族,不是蘋果也不是特斯拉!#查理芒格 #資產配置

明辨投資 December 19, 2025
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明辨投資

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🤔 很多人問我:如果美股明天就崩盤,你會買什麼?蘋果?特斯拉?我的答案可能讓你後背發涼——這兩只“明星”,我一只都不會碰。 🚫 不是它們不好,而是在真正的危機裏,最大的利潤從來不屬於那些燈火輝煌的宮殿,而屬於被遺忘在廢墟裏的“落難貴族”。 💎 我一百年的市場生涯,只驗證了一件事:當所有人都奪路而逃時,你要做的不是跟著跑,而是蹲下來,冷靜地分辨哪些是真正的垃圾,哪些只是暫時蒙塵的鑽石。 📉 本期內容,我將首次完整分享我畢生所用的 “落難貴族”四步鑒別心法。這不是預測暴跌,而是為你裝備一套無論市場晴雨都能穩定運作的思維系統。 🧠 我們將會深入兩個被市場唾棄的“廢墟”領域,你將看到: 1️⃣ “無聊”的銀行業:當所有人都喊“銀行要完了”,如何找到那座資產負債表如岩石堡壘、且管理層正在偷偷用低價回購股票的“諾亞方舟”? 2️⃣ “過時”的舊經濟巨頭:當資本瘋狂湧向AI和元宇宙,如何識別那些手握不可複製資產、定價權深厚,市值卻已低於“重置成本”的工業帝國? 🔑 更重要的是,我將坦白三個所有價值投資者都必須面對的殘酷真相(關於時間、錯誤與孤獨),以及為什麼我絕不會直接告訴你股票代碼——那不是在幫你,而是在害你。 ⚠️ 記住,在投資的世界裏,做對比看多重要一萬倍。這套方法,關乎的不是下一次暴富的機會,而是如何在下一次暴風雨中,不僅活下來,還能撿走沙灘上最珍貴的貝殼。 #查理芒格 #價值投資 #落難貴族 #美股暴跌 #投資心法 #安全邊際 #能力圈 #巴菲特 #長期投資 #財富邏輯 #危機投資 #逆向思維 #投資哲學 #認知偏差

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