特朗普“头号人选”沃勒,喊话降息50-100基点!市场预期彻底“炸锅”!特朗普的降息大刀终于要砍下来了?

世界财经拼图 December 19, 2025
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💚【 美债陷阱突围战术包 】 💚 🔥抓住机会,此刻即是转机 🔥点击免费领取:http://usa.onglong.com 接下来几年,谁最能决定你的房贷利息和资产涨跌? 不是鲍威尔,而是特朗普的头号人选—沃勒 。 几天前,市场还在幻想特朗普上台后会“大幅降息”。 但沃勒反手就给市场泼了一盆冷水:沃勒承认,现在中性利率大概是在 3% 附近; 现在的 3.5–3.75% 还算偏紧,上面还有 50–100基点的‘紧缩溢价’。 这意味着:很可能未来美国利率的“地板”就是3%! 本期视频,带你拆解这个“表面降息、实则锁死高利率”的魔鬼逻辑: 🟢当前降息只是降温而非回到低利率,房贷和企业融资难再现“1字头”。 🟢长债收益率居高不下,使美债从定价锚变成与股市争夺资金的风险源。 🟢央行增持黄金是为对抗利率与通胀并存的稀释环境,“不生息”反而成了保值优势。 别再赌“央行救市”了。 在这个资金成本被永久抬高的新世界,看懂“去杠杆+买硬资产”的生存法则,是你避免被通胀和利息双重收割的唯一出路 。 #沃勒 #特朗普 #特朗普经济政策 #美联储 #美联储主席 #下一任美联储主席 #鲍威尔 #鲍威尔时代 #利率地板 #中性利率 #中性利率3% #高利率时代 #长期高利率 #降息真相 #假降息 #表面降息 #锁死高利率 #美国利率 #美国房贷 #房贷利息 #房贷成本 #企业融资 #融资成本 #资金成本 #全球资金成本 #利率逻辑 #货币政策 #紧缩溢价 #政策溢价 #50基点 #100基点 #降温而非宽松 #低利率幻觉 #1字头利率 #历史低利率 #利率拐点 #利率中枢上移 #高利率常态 #结构性高利率 #金融环境 #宏观分析 #宏观逻辑 #宏观视角 #经济周期 #周期切换 #新周期 #旧周期终结 #资产定价 #资产重估 #资产涨跌 #财富变化 #财富逻辑 #美债 #美国国债 #长债 #长期国债 #国债收益率 #收益率高位 #利率风险 #定价锚失效 #美债风险 #资金争夺 #股债跷跷板 #股市资金 #风险资产 #风险重估 #美股 #美股逻辑 #美股压力 #估值压缩 #高估值风险 #去杠杆 #去杠杆时代 #加杠杆终结 #负债风险 #家庭负债 #企业负债 #资产负债表 #黄金 #央行买金 #央行增持黄金 #黄金逻辑 #黄金价值 #不生息资产 #抗通胀资产 #保值资产 #硬资产 #实物资产 #通胀环境 #高通胀 #通胀与利率并存 #滞胀风险 #稀释风险 #货币稀释 #信用稀释 #美元体系 #美元资产 #全球资产 #全球市场 #国际金融 #金融博弈 #政策博弈 #白宫 #华尔街 #政治经济 #选举周期 #特朗普时代 #政策转向 #政策预期 #市场预期 #预期管理 #认知差 #信息差 #投资认知 #投资逻辑 #投资思维 #普通投资者 #散户视角 #资产配置 #长期配置 #防守配置 #生存法则 #新世界规则 #时代变了 #别赌央行 #央行救市幻觉 #硬资产时代 #现金流为王#股市 #美股 #美股分析 #美股投資 #股市分析 #股市投资 #熱門 #美元 #美债 #黄金 #投资 #投资者 #投资理财 #投资分析 #市場 #市場趨勢 #市场分析 #市场趋势 #市场 #全球市场 #全球市場 #交易思维 #财富启发 #财富思维 #财富觉醒 #财富 #富人思維 #富人思维 #科技股

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