Russia is pursuing an INSANE new plan…it involves Belarus

Paul Warburg April 21, 2026
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Paul Warburg

@pauljwarburg

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Paul Warburg is an independent, open-source geopolitical analyst. In a world of murky information that is often made far more complex than it needs to be, I like to speak in plain English to actual human beings, so that everyone can understand what's going on in our world. Expect down-to-earth, but well-thought-through insights, and a place where we can talk seriously about what's happening around us - without taking ourselves too seriously. Thanks for watching and don't forget to subscribe! For sponsorships, please reach out at [email protected] For general inquiries, please reach out at [email protected]

Video Description

Artwine is now offering a new bundle: https://artwine.com/sweet - 3 sparkling wines for $129 - one from the cellars of Bakhmut, and two fresh from Odesa. It's the perfect Mother's Day gift with a story worth telling. Or browse other bottles and bundles at https://artwine.com ; Must be 21+. Please drink responsibly. Thanks to Artwine for sponsoring today's episode. Belarus is now building new military positions along the Ukrainian border. New roads, new artillery positions, and more. It appears like a preparation to open a new front in the war, with eery similarities to Russia's initial invasion towards Kyiv from Belarus in 2022. That raises some questions. Is Putin trying to drag Lukashenko into the war once more? Or is something else going on? I discuss the latest updates in the context of the current strategic background of the war. I compare current moves to previous moves from Russia, including building military bases on the border of Finland and sending drones into NATO territory. I bring it all together to discuss what is the most likely explanation for what Russia is REALLY doing right now, and why it proves Putin is so desperate. You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/user?u=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/join Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g?sub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my gear:* Camera: https://amzn.to/3WhoAyp Wide Angle Lens: https://amzn.to/4bU6eta Microphone: https://amzn.to/3YthPdU Wind Screen: https://amzn.to/3NHoDQt Tripod: https://amzn.to/3YF3zjM Backpack: https://amzn.to/4eZJWsz The links above are Amazon affiliate links, from which I earn a small commission for purchases.

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