Tom Lee最新预测:杠杆危机+政治撕裂,美股扛得住吗?

霍比特小灰 February 4, 2026
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👉抢先看,更多内容:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCq_uARg8CRY2YeV2loQ7O_A/join 汤姆李最新访谈震撼预测:2026美股逆风强劲(消费压力+高估值+杠杆1.2万亿),去杠杆螺旋或引发10-15%回调!但美股如“超级公司”,经受6次黑天鹅(贸易战/疫情/通胀/加息等)却盈利创新高,韧性无敌。核心逻辑:政治零和博弈撕裂社会,科技正和博弈创造增量——年轻人信任科技,美股长期牛市根基坚实! 视频亮点: - 美股“6次黑天鹅”压力测试:盈利持续增长 - 政治零和VS科技正和:信任转移支撑牛市 - 2026三大风险:杠杆泡沫+期权抛压+去杠杆螺旋 - 回调=市场自愈,长期看好创新公司 时间戳: 00:00 - 开篇:汤姆李2025神预测+2026市场逆风 03:00 - 美股如超级公司:6次黑天鹅打击却盈利创新高 06:16 - 政治零和博弈VS科技正和博弈:信任转移根源 16:29 - 2026三大风险:消费压力+高估值+杠杆1.2万亿 17:06 - 去杠杆螺旋四阶段:爆仓恐慌→量化抛售→期权火上浇油 19:00 - 回调自愈机会:清洗杠杆,市场恢复健康 19:45 - 结尾:投资正和博弈公司,长期牛市逻辑 #TomLee#美股2026 #杠杆危机 #去杠杆螺旋 #科技正和博弈 #政治零和 #美股牛市 #黑天鹅 #汤姆李预测 #Fundstrat ⚠️免责声明: 本视频内容仅为信息分享与市场分析,不构成任何投资建议。所有观点均来自公开信息,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。

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