Why Russia’s Next Big War Might Be With China

Paul Warburg August 1, 2025
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Paul Warburg

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Paul Warburg is an independent, open-source geopolitical analyst. In a world of murky information that is often made far more complex than it needs to be, I like to speak in plain English to actual human beings, so that everyone can understand what's going on in our world. Expect down-to-earth, but well-thought-through insights, and a place where we can talk seriously about what's happening around us - without taking ourselves too seriously. Thanks for watching and don't forget to subscribe! For sponsorships, please reach out at [email protected] For general inquiries, please reach out at [email protected]

Video Description

Most of the world thinks that China is Russia's ally. But their behavior says something different - a partner of convenience more than anything else, and potentially something much darker. In this video, I talk about China's complicated relationship with Russia, their history of warfare, their desires for each others' territory, and why, surprisingly, a Chinese attack on Russia may be more likely than an attack on Taiwan. We support the narrative with Chinese military literature (Sun Tzu), historical considerations, strategic considerations, and much more. Many of the strategic insights in this video about China's approach to war came from the book "The Hundred Year Marathon" by Michael Pillsbury. Link: https://amzn.to/41bAPAh You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/user?u=64634118 Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg Become a channel member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/join PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject Wise: https://wise.com/pay/business/warburgventuresllc Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g?sub_confirmation=1 Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject *For those asking about my gear:* Camera: https://amzn.to/3WhoAyp Wide Angle Lens: https://amzn.to/4bU6eta Microphone: https://amzn.to/3YthPdU Wind Screen: https://amzn.to/3NHoDQt Tripod: https://amzn.to/3YF3zjM Backpack: https://amzn.to/4eZJWsz The links above are Amazon affiliate links, from which I earn a small commission for purchases.