杰弗里·萨克斯:没有人为中国即将释放的“大招”做好准备……
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"中國的經濟軌跡經常被誤解,並被房地產低迷與市場波動的新聞標題所掩蓋。然而,正如 Jeffrey Sachs 所指出,更深層的結構性故事呈現出截然不同的圖景——一個充滿技術活力、長期規劃與新興全球影響力的經濟體。從電動汽車、零碳能源,到先進航運與新一代通訊技術,中國正站在未來三十年關鍵產業的前沿。這一點的含義十分明確:短期的悲觀情緒,可能讓人忽視更具決定性的長期轉型。 薩克斯將這種經濟韌性與更廣泛的歷史與地緣政治論點相結合。他強調中國長期維持內部統一與相對和平,並將之與西方——特別是 United States ——分裂與衝突頻繁的歷史形成對比。他認為,這種差異延伸至當代戰略思維,美國仍傾向以對立的方式來界定國際關係,而這種思維在多極化世界中愈發危險。他的批評同時觸及貨幣政策,警告過度依賴美元會使各國暴露於政治風險之下,尤其是在地緣政治緊張導致資產被凍結或沒收的背景下。在這種情境中,他預期全球金融體系將逐步走向多元化,人民幣將在其中扮演更重要的角色。 或許最引人注目的是他對 Bitcoin 等加密貨幣的否定。他認為,加密貨幣並非真正的創新,而是一種經濟上的低效率——既消耗大量能源,又削弱政府在貨幣治理中的能力。相較之下,薩克斯設想的未來將以國家支持的數位貨幣與重構的金融樞紐為核心,其中 Hong Kong 將轉型為以人民幣為基礎的投資門戶,把中國的高儲蓄引導至全球具生產力的資產中。整體訊息十分清晰:經濟權力、金融架構與地緣政治假設,正悄然卻深刻地發生轉變。 打開通知以獲取最新資訊!🔔🔔🔔"
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