炸裂!鄭麗文剛立威就遇硬茬!江啓臣拒辭竟攀洪秀柱 盧秀燕這回真看走眼了?#鄭麗文

聽見台灣來 December 26, 2025
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炸裂!鄭麗文剛立威就遇硬茬!江啓臣拒辭竟攀洪秀柱 盧秀燕這回真看走眼了 這就讓人好奇,為什麼同樣一套方法,搬到台中就完全失靈了。照理説有台南這個成功案例在先,台中應該更好辦。問題就卡在江啓臣身上。當時台中也是兩個人選,一個是資深的楊瓊英,另一個就是江啓臣。黨中央想比照辦理,最公平的方式就是辦民調,誰高誰就出現。楊瓊英也乾脆地表示沒問題,就照規矩來。但江啓臣的反應卻完全不按牌理出牌,他直接拒絕民調。 更高明的地方在於,他不止説不要,還反向操作,找了二十三位里長搞聯署,上演一出基層勸進的大戲。這等於是繞過黨中央,直接拿基層民意當令箭,告訴主席不是我要選,是大家需要我。這不只是挑戰,這是在將鄭麗文的軍。現在變成如果黨中央硬要辦民調,看起來就像在打壓基層民意,這讓鄭麗文的協調變得非常難看。 公然拒絕黨內公認的遊戲規則,在政治上風險很高,等於是公然説自己可能選不贏,所以不要照規矩玩。他當然怕被貼上輸不起的標籤,所以才需要用基層勸進來包裝。但背後的動機,可能真的跟怕輸有關。幾年前他也想選市長,就是跟現任的盧秀燕競爭,但當時他因為聲量低於盧秀燕,很早就被判出局。所以他不想再賭一次民調數字,想換個跑道,用組織動員的聲勢來壓過民調。但諷刺的是,就目前來看,單論網絡聲量,他的對手楊瓊英還略勝江啓臣。所以他想避開的戰場,或許還真的是他目前的弱點。 他一面拒絕黨內協調,另一面還得面對一個更直接的質疑:他現在是立法院副院長,如果要選市長,到底該不該辭職?這在台灣政壇幾乎是個必考題。這也是他整個論述最核心,也最讓人摸不着頭緒的地方。他很明確地表示要帶職參選,並提出了兩個前輩的例子來幫自己背書。 第一個例子是民進黨的蔡其昌,他説蔡其昌當年選台中市長,也是掛着立法院副院長的頭銜沒辭職。拿敵對陣營的人當擋箭牌,這很常見。第二個例子更有趣,他搬出了自己黨內的大前輩洪秀柱,説洪秀柱當年要選的時候,也沒有辭掉立法院副院長的職務。最後他還補上一個結論:這些都是有跡可循的,意思是説他這麼做合乎慣例。 但最弔詭的地方就在這裏。他引用的這兩個案例,結果都不太好。蔡其昌那次選舉的結果是落敗收場,而洪秀柱的例子更是一波三折,過程坎坷,最終也並非勝利。所以他等於是在公開説:你看,那些上次用這個方法輸掉的人,就是我的榜樣。這種邏輯實在讓人看不懂,這等於是只選擇性地截取了可以不辭職的行為,卻完全無視了這個行為最終導向的失敗結果。 更何況,還有兩個大家印象更深刻的例子:韓國瑜和侯友宜。雖然他們參選的層級不同,但他們帶職參選引發的巨大爭議和最終的選舉結果,可謂一目瞭然。不辭職,表面上是給自己留了條後路,可以進可攻、退可守,但這也恰恰暴露了決心不足的問題。選舉打的就是一股氣勢,當選民感覺到候選人還在想着“選輸了沒關係,我還有位置坐”,那種破釜沉舟、當仁不讓的氣勢就先輸了一半。這種疑慮一旦在選民心中產生,會是很大的傷害。 除了用失敗案例來辯護,江啓臣還主動拋出他自認的兩大優勢。第一,他説自己更瞭解台中;第二,他強調跟現任市長盧秀燕合作無間。然而,這兩點都經不起推敲。 關於“更瞭解台中”,這話本身沒問題,但一拿來比較,問題就出來了。他的黨內對手楊瓊英,曾當過七屆的民意代表,還在市政府擔任過副市長,資歷非常深厚。論行政歷練和地方的熟悉度,履歷攤開來,楊瓊英顯然是遠遠超過江啓臣。所以當他説自己“更瞭解台中”時,這句話在地方人士聽起來可能就沒什麼説服力,等於是提出了一個很容易被反駁的論點。 至於第二點,與盧市長的默契,有現任市長力挺,本該是加分項。但他們的關係,卻被形容為“醬缸”,這個詞很重,暗示着一種封閉守舊、分不清彼此的政治小圈子。江啓臣的行事風格,一直在模仿盧秀燕那種“不沾鍋”的作風,凡事圓滑,不得罪人。這種明哲保身的風格或許能自保,但在需要魄力和願景的市長選舉中,很容易被看成是沒有擔當。因此,他這種模仿,現在看來反而適得其反。

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