黃金白銀暴跌—只有川普可以拯救，普通人發財的機會真的到了。

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moomoo 美國開戶連結：https://start.moomoo.com/0zHMIF moomoo 其他國家開戶連結：https://start.moomoo.com/0y7C4G 美國新客好禮：最高可获得$1000* 英偉達 + 8.1% APY （限時 2 個月 新加坡新客好禮：入金 S$5,000，得 S$100*英偉達+S$60 交易回饋券 馬來新客好禮：最高得 2200RM 好禮+6% pa（限時 30 天） 澳洲新客好禮：入金 2500AUD 共 15 次抽贈股 香港開戶富途牛兌換碼：Nicolas 香港牛牛：最高得$1800 港幣+額外$200 現金券 免責聲明： *活動附帶條款和條件，其他費用適用。投資有風險，此文不構成任何投資建議。股票獎勵的價值將根據其市場情況而變化。投資於資本市場產品涉及風險。本文所表達的全部觀點均來自尼可拉斯楊的獨立意見。 moomoo 證券（新加坡）及其相關公司均不內容及觀點負責。此廣告未經新加坡金融管理局審查 —————— 主頻道：https://www.youtube.com/@NicolasYoung 副頻道：https://www.youtube.com/@nicolasyounglive —————— 2026年1月30日夜晚，黃金與白銀市場出現罕見級別的劇烈崩跌。白銀單日暴跌33%，黃金同步重挫，全球超過數十萬高槓桿帳戶被強制平倉。這並不是一次普通的回調，而是一場由制度觸發、由槓桿放大、最終演變成連鎖清算的金融風暴。 本次暴跌的核心導火索，來自全球最大期貨交易所——CME芝加哥商品交易所。CME於1月30日突然公告，將黃金與白銀期貨的保證金比例從5%上調至6%，等同於瞬間將槓桿率從20倍壓縮至約17倍。對高槓桿交易者而言，這意味著單一合約所需資金直接上升20%，未能即時補足保證金的帳戶，將被直接斬倉。 更關鍵的是，這並非孤立事件。早在1月13日，CME已宣布將期貨保證金由「固定金額」改為「隨價格變動的百分比制」，價格上漲多少，保證金同步提高。這兩項制度疊加，構成了一個對高槓桿極度不友善的環境。 當市場下跌觸發量化交易模型時，約65%的自動化交易開始同步賣出，形成螺旋式下跌，最終導致白銀出現歷史級別的單日崩盤。 這樣的場景，在歷史中並非第一次出現。2011年白銀從48美元跌至28美元，正是因為CME在短時間內五次上調保證金，最終白銀進入長達數年的低迷期。歷史不會簡單重複，但人性與制度的邏輯，從未改變。 與此同時，宏觀世界正在發生劇烈變化。川普近期頻繁公開釋放「買股票」的訊號，美國正推動製造業回流、減稅、降息與美元貶值策略，這與1980年代里根—川普成長時期的美國高度相似。當年，美股在10年間上漲超過3倍。 黃金的長期邏輯，並不在於短期期貨價格，而在於各國央行是否持續買入實體黃金。期貨與現貨，是兩個完全不同的宇宙。當全球央行開始不再完全信任美元，黃金作為終極信用資產的地位，便不會消失。 本影片內容僅為個人投資筆記與歷史研究，不構成任何投資建議。市場有風險，投資需謹慎。 On the night of January 30, 2026, the gold and silver markets experienced an exceptionally violent collapse. Silver plunged 33% in a single day, while gold fell sharply in tandem. Globally, hundreds of thousands of highly leveraged accounts were forcibly liquidated. This was not an ordinary pullback, but a financial storm triggered by institutional rules, amplified by leverage, and ultimately cascading into systemic liquidation. The core catalyst behind this crash came from the world’s largest futures exchange—the CME Group (Chicago Mercantile Exchange). On January 30, CME suddenly announced an increase in margin requirements for gold and silver futures, raising the margin ratio from 5% to 6%. This effectively compressed leverage from 20x to approximately 17x overnight. For highly leveraged traders, this meant that the required margin per contract rose by 20% instantly. Any account unable to meet the new margin requirement was immediately forced into liquidation. More importantly, this was not an isolated action. As early as January 13, CME had already announced a structural change: margin requirements would no longer be fixed amounts, but instead calculated as a percentage tied to price movements. In other words, if gold or silver prices rose by 30%, margin requirements would rise by 30% as well. The combination of these two policy changes created an environment that was extremely hostile to high leverage. As prices fell and triggered quantitative trading models, approximately 65% of automated trading systems began selling simultaneously. This feedback loop intensified the decline, producing a downward spiral that ultimately resulted in a historic single-day crash in silver. This type of event is not without precedent. In 2011, silver collapsed from $48 to $28 after CME raised margin requirements five times in rapid succession. That episode pushed silver into a multi-year bear market. History does not repeat itself mechanically, but the underlying logic of human behavior and institutional mechanisms never truly changes. At the same time, the macroeconomic backdrop is undergoing profound shifts. In recent months, Donald Trump has repeatedly and publicly signaled that it is time to buy stocks. The United States is once again pushing for manufacturing reshoring, tax cuts, interest-rate reductions, and a weaker dollar—conditions strikingly similar to the America of the 1980s, during the formative years of Trump himself. During that decade, U.S. equities rose more than threefold. The long-term logic of gold does not lie in short-term futures prices, but in whether global central banks continue to accumulate physical gold. Futures markets and physical markets are two entirely different universes. When central banks begin to lose confidence in the long-term purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, gold’s role as an ultimate store of trust and credit does not disappear. —————— 📌 投資風險免責聲明 本頻道所有內容僅代表個人觀點與研究分享，僅供學習與參考，不構成任何形式之投資建議、投資邀約或買賣推薦。 金融市場具有不確定性與波動風險，過往表現不代表未來結果。任何投資決策請依自身財務狀況與風險承受能力獨立判斷，盈虧自負。本頻道對因使用相關內容所產生之任何直接或間接損失，概不負責。 📌 Investment Disclaimer All content on this channel reflects personal opinions and research and is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, recommendations, or solicitation. Financial markets involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Viewers are responsible for their own investment decisions. The channel assumes no liability for any losses incurred.