David Rosenberg: Markets Are Propped Up by the S&P 500 - and That’s the Risk for 2026

Video Description

In this exclusive Outlook 2026 special, David Rosenberg, President of Rosenberg Research, joins Jeremy Szafron to dismantle the "Soft Landing" narrative and expose the massive disconnect between Wall Street pricing and Main Street reality. While the S&P 500 hits record highs, Rosenberg presents forensic data showing that the U.S. economy has already entered a "silent" contraction that is being masked by government hiring and a stock market bubble. THE "NO HIRE" ECONOMY: Rosenberg reveals that beneath the headline payroll numbers, the "hiring rate" has collapsed to cycle lows—a dynamic he calls "No Hire, No Fire." He explains why official government data is masking a real-time contraction of 20,000 jobs per month and why the "AI Lifeline" that kept the economy afloat in 2025 has finally snapped. THE 6TH MEGA BUBBLE: With the Shiller PE ratio hitting 40x, Rosenberg warns we are witnessing the "6th Mega Bubble of the last 100 years." He breaks down why legendary investors like Warren Buffett are sitting on a record $400 billion cash pile and Jamie Dimon is buying Treasuries, signaling that the "Smart Money" has already exited the casino while retail investors go "all in." Recorded December 19 2025 Follow Jeremy Szafron on X: @JeremySzafron (https://twitter.com/JeremySzafron) Follow Kitco News on X: @KitcoNewsNOW (https://twitter.com/kitconewsnow) Follow David Rosenberg on X: @EconguyRosie (https://twitter.com/EconguyRosie) This Outlook 2026 episode is sponsored by Discovery Silver. Discovery is combining high-quality gold-producing assets in Canada with one of the world’s largest undeveloped silver deposits in Mexico. Learn more at (https://www.discoverysilver.com) IN THIS EPISODE: -The "Wealth Illusion": Why the top 10% of earners are the only thing keeping the U.S. economy from a depression. -The Credit Wall: How rising delinquencies and the refinancing cliff in 2026 will hit small businesses. -The Japan Pivot: Why the Bank of Japan's rate hike changes the game for global liquidity. -The Defensive Playbook: Why Rosenberg is long Gold, Energy Infrastructure, and Bonds for 2026. TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 01:33 Stock Market Dynamics and Consumer Spending 07:30 Valuation Metrics and Market Bubbles: The "6th Mega Bubble" 16:24 Small Business Challenges and Economic Dichotomies 22:51 Private Credit and Refinancing Risks 25:31 Rising Fixed Costs: The "Quiet Tax" on Households 28:15 Labor Market Dynamics and Inflation 28:53 The Wage-Price Spiral vs. Reality 29:49 Consumer Spending and Cost Increases 31:06 Global Liquidity and Japan's Economic Policies 33:54 Understanding Liquidity and Market Sentiment 35:09 Gold and Precious Metals Outlook for 2026 38:57 Energy Infrastructure and Natural Gas Strategies 40:56 Investment Risks and Market Sentiment for 2026 #DavidRosenberg #Recession2026 #WarrenBuffett #StockMarketCrash #Gold #Economy #KitcoNews #Investing #LaborMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #WealthTransfer #CentralBanks __________________________________________________________________ Like, share, and subscribe to Kitco News—and turn on alerts to stay current with expert interviews, market insights, and breaking news coverage. FOLLOW US: X: https://x.com/kitconewsnow Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kitconews Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/KitcoNews LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/kitconews Listen to the PODCAST on 🎧 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1My4WgtF0ZhUnxkxDLoJof 🎧 Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/kitco-news/id1842889233 🎧 All podcast episodes available here → https://kitconews.buzzsprout.com Visit: https://Kitco.com/ for live gold, silver, and crypto prices, the latest mining news, and macroeconomic insights. Live gold price and chart: https://www.kitco.com/charts/gold Live silver price and chart: https://www.kitco.com/charts/silver Live crypto market data: https://www.kitco.com/price/crypto Learn more about Kitco News: https://www.kitco.com/news/about/ For more information on advertising, sponsorship and marketing promotions – please visit our online media kit at: https://www.kitco.com/advertising Disclaimer: The videos are not intended to provide trading advice, and the views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. Kitco News, its anchors, producers, and reporters are not responsible in any way for the performance or actions of any sponsor, advertiser or affiliate of Kitco News. In no event will Kitco and its employees be held liable for any indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the content in this video.