Why is Rupee Depreciating & Will it Recover? • Sridhar Chityala Explains

PGurus December 7, 2025
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To understand United States and India and their potential, you must understand their Business, Politics and Culture. We strive to present all three in our analysis with clarity and humor.

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The Indian Rupee is under pressure — but is this a currency crisis or a predictable adjustment driven by global forces? In this episode, Sridhar Chityala breaks down why the INR is depreciating, what is driving the demand for U.S. dollars, and whether the rupee can stabilize or recover in the coming quarters. We examine the real engines behind the slide — India’s expanding import bill, rising energy and technology dependency, widening trade deficit, shifts in global capital flows, carry-trade exposure, and the RBI’s calibrated decision to allow market-driven correction instead of aggressive intervention. This conversation explores: ♦ Rising trade deficit and dollar demand ♦ Impact of oil, electronics & machinery imports ♦ Why RBI is not fighting the depreciation ♦ Domestic inflation and consumer impact ♦ Will an India–US trade deal change the trajectory? ♦ Is FDI real, long-term capital or short-term hot money? ♦ RBI liquidity measures, rate cuts & swap actions Is the fall of the rupee a temporary phase, a structural transition, or the beginning of a larger global currency reset? Watch the full discussion to understand the risks — and the opportunities — shaping India’s currency future. #Rupee #INR #IndianEconomy #DollarVsRupee #TradeDeficit #RBI #FDI #CurrencyMarkets #SridharChityala #PGurus 𝗥𝗘𝗙𝗘𝗥𝗘𝗡𝗖𝗘𝗦: 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲 to our 𝗣𝗚𝘂𝗿𝘂𝘀 𝗛𝗶𝗻𝗱𝗶 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹 - http://ow.ly/SsJV50OEVjq 𝗝𝗼𝗶𝗻 this channel to get access to perks: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC5oAOrsfqTxLOmFNuK_S8ug/join Now get regular updates on 𝙒𝙝𝙖𝙩𝙨𝘼𝙥𝙥, 𝙥𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙪𝙨 𝙤𝙣 +12342559123, and we will add you to 1 of the 𝙜𝙧𝙤𝙪𝙥𝙨 Do Join our 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁𝘀𝗔𝗽𝗽 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹𝘀 for Regular Updates - https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029Va9icyxFHWpve1jVdH2t 𝗟𝗜𝗡𝗞𝗦: Sree Iyer's 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝗦𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 Book 4 - 𝗣𝗮𝗽𝗲𝗿 𝗜𝗻, 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝗢𝘂𝘁 can be bought from: 1. SreeIyer.com website - https://sreeiyer.com/books/Paper-In-Money-Out 2. Sree Iyer App IOS and 3. Amazon.in - https://www.amazon.in/dp/1736533231 𝗠𝗬𝗦𝗧𝗘𝗥𝗬 𝗦𝗘𝗥𝗜𝗘𝗦 Book 1 𝑾𝒉𝒐 𝑲𝒊𝒍𝒍𝒆𝒅 𝑺𝑺𝑹? Paperback is available at - https://amzn.to/3H4jfmF 𝗠𝗢𝗡𝗘𝗬 𝗦𝗘𝗥𝗜𝗘𝗦: Book 1 𝗪𝗵𝗼 𝗽𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝘆 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝘄𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗲? is available at - https://amzn.to/3hGXai1 Book 2 𝗪𝗵𝗼 𝗽𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝘆 𝗹𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝗿𝗲𝗱? is available at - https://amzn.to/2JUaNfR Book 3 𝗪𝗵𝗼 𝗽𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝘆 𝗳𝘂𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗯𝗿𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁? Book 3 in Money Series is now available at - https://amzn.to/3fTmgZY Book 4 𝗪𝗵𝗼 𝗽𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝘆 𝗺𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝘄𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗲? Hindi version - https://amzn.to/3nRpQrX 𝗣𝗔𝗫 𝗔𝗠𝗘𝗥𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗡𝗔 𝗦𝗘𝗥𝗜𝗘𝗦: Pax Americana Series Book 1 𝗪𝗵𝗼 𝗽𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝘆 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗽𝘂𝗿𝗽𝗹𝗲? - https://amzn.to/3qVpYsn 𝗠𝗢𝗥𝗘 𝗟𝗜𝗡𝗞𝗦: Download 𝗣𝗚𝘂𝗿𝘂𝘀 𝗔𝗻𝗱𝗿𝗼𝗶𝗱 app - https://bit.ly/3hCRYvu Download 𝗣𝗚𝘂𝗿𝘂𝘀 𝗶𝗢𝗦 app - https://apps.apple.com/in/app/pgurus/id1503343866 𝗗𝗢𝗡𝗔𝗧𝗘 to PGurus - paypal.me/pgurus 𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗖𝗧 𝗪𝗜𝗧𝗛 𝗨𝗦: * 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲 to our channel - https://bit.ly/2CNevl8 * 𝗦𝘂𝗯𝘀𝗰𝗿𝗶𝗯𝗲 to our 𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘂𝗽 channel - https://bit.ly/3nGmTew * Like us on 𝗙𝗮𝗰𝗲𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸 - https://www.facebook.com/PGurus1 * Tweet us on 𝗧𝘄𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 - https://twitter.com/pgurus1 * Follow us on 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺 - https://www.instagram.com/pgurus1 * Follow us on 𝗞𝗼𝗼 - https://www.kooapp.com/profile/pgurus1 * Join the 𝗧𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺 channel to get the latest from PGurus - https://t.me/pgurus1 Now you can also listen to 𝗣𝗚𝘂𝗿𝘂𝘀 𝗼𝗻 𝗣𝗼𝗱𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁𝘀 * 𝗔𝗽𝗽𝗹𝗲 - https://apple.co/39a1sKl * 𝗚𝗼𝗼𝗴𝗹𝗲 - https://bit.ly/2Xzk04r * 𝗦𝗽𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗳𝘆 - https://spoti.fi/3AmcckD * 𝗚𝗮𝗮𝗻𝗮 - https://bit.ly/3ogAFEK * 𝗝𝗶𝗼 𝗦𝗮𝗮𝘃𝗻 - https://bit.ly/3COeEBi * 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗿 - https://bit.ly/3hFfurV * 𝗣𝗼𝗰𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝘁𝘀 - https://pca.st/1y0f1tvy * 𝗥𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗼 𝗣𝘂𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰 - https://bit.ly/39d2DbR 𝗙𝗔𝗜𝗥 𝗨𝗦𝗘 𝗡𝗢𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗘: This video may contain copyrighted material. Such material is made available for educational purposes only. This constitutes a ‘fair use’ of any such copyrighted material as provided for in Title 17 U.S.C. section 106A-117 of the US Copyright Law. All the videos, songs, images, and graphics used in the video belong to their respective owners and I or this channel does not claim any right over them. The views expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily represent or reflect the views of PGurus. 00:00 – Intro 02:06 – Falling INR sign of weakening Indian currency? 09:45 -Japan trade 12:45 – Rupee decline this year 14:39 – USD to Rupee 19:22 – Where is INR heading? 22:06 – FY 26 trade snapshots 24:27 – Why the slide? 27:00 – Macro strains mount 29:40 – How to combat it? 36:41 – Global scenario of markets 41:17 – Prices of commodity in India will go up? 42:08 – Rupee stable coins 42:47 – Energy imports from Russia 44:12 – Chinese can hack YouTube? 47:38 – Will UPI based global system work? 52:12 – Ques & Ans

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