📈 2026中港樓市大預測!香港樓價真見底?萬科500億債務炸彈!內房股上演「天堂與地獄」?一個數據揭露中港房市天與地!|#66 邵看江湖

Sun Channel December 16, 2025
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📈 2026香港樓價見底大反彈?內地房企「天堂與地獄」解析! 🇭🇰 香港樓市:底部已現,明年看升! 📎見底確認:多數投行與機構預計 2024 年香港樓價將上漲 3% 至 15%。 📎強大支撐:香港金融服務佔 GDP 達 24.9%,高薪人士通過「滴漏效應」支撐租金與樓價(千呎單位租金升幅最大)。 📎數據實證:東半山物業租金年內升幅達 10%,足以支撐樓價。 📎兩大利好:美國進入減息週期(預計明年再減兩次)及香港「高才通」專才政策,人口流入將拉低平均年齡並穩固樓市。 🇨🇳 內房市場:高度分化,警惕風險! 📎去庫存週期:內地房地產去庫存週期預計要到 2027 年中 才趨向理想。 📎警示區 (地獄):雅居樂面臨清盤呈請,萬科需重組 500 億美元 有息債務,股價不斷下跌。 📎穩健區 (天堂):龍湖集團傳出私有化,因其境內信用債全數償還,且擁有高防守性資產(年收租 260 億),市值與租金比三年可回本。 📎資產運作:如麗新賣出中環建行大廈還債,是為降低負債比率的正面操作,股價已由四毫多升至六毫。 #香港樓價 #HongKongProperty #內房股 #ChinaPropertyStocks #龍湖私有化 #LongforPrivatization #雅居樂清盤 #AgileLiquidation #萬科債務 #VankeDebt #樓市預測 #PropertyForecast #香港經濟 #HKEconomy #美國減息 #USRateCuts #專才政策 #TalentScheme #滴漏效應 #TrickleDownEffect #租金回報 #RentalYield #金融服務業 #FinancialServices #內地去庫存 #InventoryDestocking #房地產市場 #RealEstateMarket #投資分析 #InvestmentAnalysis #財經 #Finance #樓市見底 #PropertyBottom #香港復甦 #HKRecovery #中國GDP #ChinaGDP #防守型資產 #DefensiveAssets #高才通 #TopTalentPass #新鴻基 #SunHungKai #新世界 #NewWorldDev #麗新 #LaiSun #信和 #SinoLand #恆大 #Evergrande #2中港樓市 #HKChinaProperty #房企危機 #DeveloperCrisis #數據分析 #DataAnalysis #市場觀點 #MarketView #KOL分析 #KOLAnalysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 支持Sun Channel製作,加入成為每月$10付費會員,請按此連結: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCkx8tfePUl__VGvNDNOKqRw/join 購買Lorey 讀好書 VIP 會員專區,收睇更多會員專屬影片: https://scmediahk.com/channel/9 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 支持 Sun Channel 請即Follow 各社交平台,關注最全面資料: 🧡Instagram:https://www.instagram.com/sunchannelhk

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