The Real Reason China Is Pulling Back from Russia

Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics August 24, 2025
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Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics

@pkurzin

About

I’m Pyotr Kurzin, host of The Global Gambit. I’ve spent years working across Africa and Eastern Europe with the World Bank and the International Crisis Group, and trained in strategic studies and economic statecraft at Johns Hopkins SAIS. This isn’t second-hand commentary — it’s first-hand field and policy experience brought straight to you. Everyone has biases — but the only way to really grow is to test them, step out of our comfort zones, and avoid echo chambers. That’s exactly what this channel is for. Pyotr prides himself in engaging all sides. SUPPORT THE SHOW ○ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit ○ Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit FOLLOW FOR MORE ○ X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin ○ Substack: https://pyotrskurzin.substack.com/ For media or partnership enquiries email: [email protected]

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Putins's Russia is lashing out yet stumbling over Ukraine. While China is rising but hesitant. And the West? It’s caught between democratic decay at home and the slow erosion of U.S. dominance abroad. This isn’t the neat balance of power we read about in textbooks. It’s a messy, multipolar scramble where mistakes can spiral into global shocks. Watch part 1 of our chat: https://youtu.be/c76MT3xQOLk So in this part 2 of 2, Marko Papic explains why China’s ambitions are limited by its own fragilities, how Russia’s missteps in Ukraine are reshaping its future, and why Western democracies are struggling to hold the line. From Washington’s slipping grip to Moscow’s domestic turmoil, we’re entering an era defined less by order and more by instability. Is this just turbulence—or the birth of a new world system? Marko Papic is Chief Strategist, GeoMacro Strategy at BCA Access. He holds a Master’s degree in political science from the University of British Columbia and studied political science at the University of Texas at Austin. 👉 Let me do the overthinking for you. Support me on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit ✍️ Get my newsletter: https://pyotrskurzin.substack.com/. Because the world’s a mess, and someone needs to mock it intelligently. ☕ KEEP ME CAFFINATED ☕ https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit ✨ LETS CONNECT ✨ https://twitter.com/PKurzin https://www.instagram.com/pyotrsfootprints/ https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast... https://bsky.app/profile/pyotrkurzin.bsky.social 🚨 YOUTUBE MEMBERSHIP 🚨 https://www.youtube.com/@theglobalgambit/membership Chapters 00:00 The Evolution of Modern Society 00:48 Democratic Backsliding and Its Implications 02:55 China's Strategic Calculations 05:42 China's Regional Influence and Constraints 07:58 China's Global Aspirations and Limitations 12:07 Russia's Strategic Miscalculations 19:35 The Future of Russia and Global Power Dynamics #ukraine #russia #china #internationalrelations #geopolitics #war #putin

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